That changes in 2026, when the World Cup expands to a record 48 teams, and Africa will now be guaranteed at least nine slots. For Uganda, still on a quest for that bow in the World Cup after missing in four attempts, the expansion gives it a chance of slim redemption in a traditionally unfruitful journey.
Historically, the odds have always been against Uganda. Of the dozens of African nations competing, just 13 have ever made it to the World Cup. However, with more and more African teams getting to the finals, Uganda’s chances turned real and greatly increased. The increased slots means that teams that have been on the periphery stand a realistic chance of making history.
Uganda was squeezed into Group G, a very strong and balanced one here in the African qualifying rounds. The Cranes are tied in fourth place with six points in Group G, which includes Guinea and Botswana, while Algeria and Mozambique are top with nine points each after playing four matches. With just three points separating the top five teams, the qualification race is still wide open.
Importantly, Uganda had already faced two of its toughest opponents, playing away to Guinea and home to Algeria. This means that the Cranes may have an apparently slightly easier schedule than those of the rest of their group rivals in upcoming fixtures, a factor that might boost their chances in trying to garner some crucial points.
Uganda’s recent performances should have given their fans optimism that they would win on the June qualifiers. In a full packed stadium in Kampala against Botswana, they emerged winners in a narrow 1-0 win and also suffered a small 2-1 loss to Algeria, proving they can hold their own against stronger teams. The swell of youth and experience in the team makes them quite potent.
Besides, Cranes are benefiting from an ever-increasing pool of talent inclusive of those in the diaspora, who have their background in European football systems. Among these is Elio Capradossi, who made his Uganda debut in June after playing through the youth system in Italy. His addition and a few other budding talents may prove to be important as Uganda goes into a must-improve team from the remaining qualifying matches.
Despite there having been more promising odds of qualification than ever before for Uganda, Cranes have always been underdogs in the race for World Cup qualification. Teams such as Algeria and Guinea would attract the favorites tag to top the group under other circumstances due to their established pedigree. But with only three points the difference to the group leaders and six matches to play, the Cranes are very much in contention.
The best of Ugandan football could still be coming. If the team gets to build on the latest show of results and continues to blend in new talent, Cranes might just shock and go on the historic run to make it to the World Cup. A tough path this may be, but with determination and a bit of luck, Uganda’s dream is really near.
